| |
Watch Out For Obama's Team Selling Conservative Policies As Progressive Politics
By David Sirota, Openleft.com
December 4, 2008
"This is the violin model: Hold power with the
left hand, and play the music with your right."-- David J.
Rothkopf, a former Clinton official who wrote a history of the National
Security Council, said on Friday, as news of Mrs. Clinton's and Mr.
Geithner's appointments leaked. This quote, from the
New York Times story asserting that Barack Obama will govern
from the center-right, highlights a very important dynamic in politics:
the tendency of politicians to use the argot of progressivism in their
public presentations (to "hold power with the left hand") --
all while wielding conservative policy ("playing the music with
your right"). There's nothing surprising about this - the
reason endangered politicians of both parties start airing populist
progressive themes around election time is because they know those
themes are popular among rank-and-file voters (thus the definition of
"populism") - they know, in other words, that this is a
decidedly center-left country, and when they have to answer to that
country come election day, they go left. But once these politicians get
into office and are far away from all of us, the unwashed masses, the
pressures of money and media -- ie. the Establishment -- unleashes
incredible pressure for them to actually write the details of policy in
a way that preserves the conservative status quo. Enter the Obama
administration. While there's not enough evidence to declare a
full-on "trend" in the incoming Obama White House, it is
notable that Obama's policy appointments (ie. Cabinet secretaries and
White House policy advisers who actually craft policy) are almost all
right-of-center, Establishment choices -- and almost none are, as
The Nation's Chris Hayes has said, movement progressives. At the
same time, many Obama appointments to exclusively political
positions -- that is, positions that are focused on selling policy,
whatever that policy may be -- are terrific movement progressives,
people like Mike Lux (transition outreach to progressive orgs), Ellen
Moran (communications director), Phil Schiliro (congressional liason)
and Patrick Gaspard (political director). In other words, the initial
structure seems to resemble the principle in American politics of
politicians publicly selling their policies in progressive terms, while
having those policies be crafted with much more conservative
ideology. Intra-administration ideological ghettoization isn't
new. The last Democratic administration engaged in its share of
conservative-progressive ghettoization - but rather than making the
policy/politics barrier the wall of the two ghettos, it divided the two
ideologies between the cabinet offices with different jurisdictions. The
cabinet offices that oversaw economic regulation and defense largely
went to conservatives, and the cabinet offices with powerful grassroots
progressive constituencies like Labor, EPA, I and HUD went to
progressives. The potential ghettoization in the Obama
administration -- and I stress again, it's only the potential -- is one
where the policy sculptors are center-right Establishmentarians, and
where the policy marketers (ie. the political team) is comprised of
people who know how to package and sell policies in the language of
progressivism, and sell those policies to progressive activists, a
progressive-dominated Democratic congressional caucus and a center-left
public at large. Certainly, Obama may mimic the Clinton administration
and give Labor, EPA, Interior and HUD to progressives as well, but the
politics-policy divide nonetheless seems to be the defining
progressive-conservative boundary right now. Obviously, the
division of responsibility is never totally cut and dry. As Karl Rove
showed, a White House political team can have a lot of influence over
policy. So we can't draw any hard and fast conclusions about what this
will mean in the Obama administration. It's very possible that the
progressive political team will have a lot of policy say. That
said, I do think it is important for progressives to understand the
difference between the policy and political machinery of an
administration. Ghettoizing conservatives into the policy machine (to
"play the music") and progressives into the political machine
(to help Obama "hold power") would not bode well for all the
progressive policy promises Obama made during the campaign. After all,
if the details of policy are being forged by center-right Establishment
insiders, those policies are more likely (though certainly not
guaranteed) to represent a fairly center-right Establishment viewpoint,
no matter how well those policies are draped in the salesmanship of a
progressive political machinery. This gets to the fundamental
question about Obama that nobody really knows. Does Obama believe that
in order to be a successful president and right the economy, he has to
fulfill the decidedly progressive policy promises he made during the
campaign? Or does he believe that if he combines his own personal
salesmanship talents with a strong political team that is skilled at the
language of progressivism, he can sell a right-of-center Establishment
agenda as huge "change?" Nobody knows the answer to this
- and those who say they do are arguing with the same ridiculed faith
that George W. Bush cited when he said he knew Vladimir Putin was a good
guy because he looked into the Russian autocrat's eyes. The truth is, we
just don't know what Obama thinks his path should be. That's why
it is important to keep a close eye on how the new administration is
being constructed. The strategies we create to enact a progressive
agenda (and I assume that, and not just Democratic Party dominance, is
what progressives want) will have to be calibrated for the kind of
administration that is ultimately built. An administration that has
right-of-center policy sculptors and left-of-center policy sellers will
have to be worked with differently than, say, an administration with
progressive policy sculptors and conservative policy
sellers. Again, I'm not saying the administration is built yet, or
that the initial staffing decisions delineate a full-fledged trend. But
we should watch closely to see if a trend does, indeed, develop.
| |